Wealthsimple Predict

Wealthsimple Predict is a standalone app for prediction markets — a Canadian platform where you can trade on the outcome of real-world events.

Turn your view into a position

A prediction market is a place to trade on what happens next. Buy a contract — yes or no — based on what you think will happen. If you're right, you profit. If you're wrong, the price you paid is the most you can lose.

The price is the probability

Each contract trades between 1 cent and 99 cents. The price reflects what the market believes will happen. A contract at 72 cents means the market sees a 72% chance. Correct contracts settle at $1.

Trade on what you follow

Take a position on economics, weather and financial markets — the categories currently approved by Canadian regulators. Browse live events, watch prices move in real time, and trade when you have a view.

Will the Bank of Canada cut rates? Will inflation come in above forecast? If you follow it, you can trade on it.

Transparent markets

Prediction markets are peer-to-peer. For every contract there's a buyer and a seller, and the price updates in real time. There's no operator advantage, no built-in spread, and no hidden edge.

How outcomes resolve

Every market has a clear resolution source set out before you trade, so you always know how and when an outcome will be decided. No ambiguity, no discretion.

Built responsibly

We built Wealthsimple Predict responsibly. Learning is built into the product through mandatory onboarding and plain-language definitions, guardrails run through every step from trading-risk reminders to liquidity warnings on quieter markets, and every contract is regulated as a futures contract overseen by Canadian regulators — spanning economic indicators, financial markets, and climate.

Who it's for

Wealthsimple Predict is for anyone with a view on what happens next. Whether you follow markets closely, have strong opinions on politics, or just think you know how the season ends — you can take a position and see how it plays out.

Get started

Open a dedicated Predictions account under your existing Wealthsimple login, or sign up and start trading in minutes.

From Wealthsimple, trusted by over 4 million Canadians.

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Wealthsimple Predict is offered by Wealthsimple Investments Inc. (“WSII”). WSII is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization. Customer accounts held at WSII are protected by Canadian Investor Protection Fund (“CIPF”) within specified limits in the event WSII becomes insolvent. A brochure describing the nature and limits of coverage is available upon request or at CIPF.

Forecast contracts are derivatives that carry risk of loss, including the potential loss of your full investment. Contract prices can be volatile and may not reflect the actual probability of the underlying event. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

See wsim.co/legal for more information including fee schedules, risk disclosures, and privacy policy. 80 Spadina Ave. 4th Floor, Toronto, ON M5V 2J4